microsoft/agent-lightning is drawing steady momentum at +25.3 stars/day (85th percentile in the tracked cohort), for a momentum score of 37.2/100. Forks are climbing too, at +3.3/day.
Low breakout odds over the next 14 days, led by star velocity (85th pctl) and fork velocity (82th pctl). Confidence is high given the available history.
Reconstructed from 245 snapshots — the time-series GitHub’s API doesn’t expose.
~17 forks/day, 6.6× the trailing baseline.
~10 forks/day, 6.8× the trailing baseline.
~11 forks/day, 11.0× the trailing baseline.
Live score, refreshed every 6 hours. Links back to this page.
[](https://breakwave.vercel.app/repo/microsoft/agent-lightning)Transparent heuristic · logged for model training
Percentile rank within the tracked cohort. The score self-calibrates — it answers “accelerating vs. everything else,” not raw size.
~14 forks/day, 3.6× the trailing baseline.
~11 forks/day, 3.5× the trailing baseline.
Release count rose to 9.
~14 forks/day, 3.1× the trailing baseline.
~11 forks/day, 5.8× the trailing baseline.
Release count rose to 8.
~14 forks/day, 13.3× the trailing baseline.